Schalke vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

Schalke vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

Schalke

2017-04-23
16:30
Veltins Arena

VS

RB Leipzig

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig predictions for Sunday’s late Bundesliga action.

Schalke VS RB Leipzig Predictions

Full Time: 1 - 1

Over/Under Tip: Over 2.5
lose

Reason For Schalke VS RB Leipzig Betting Tips

Schalke 04 seemed back to their best in their last home outing in the Bundesliga – a dominant 4-1 win at home to the rejuvenated Wolfsburg – so coach Markus Weinzierl should be very disappointed with a rotten run of form that saw them defeated on the road to Darmstadt 98 last weekend (unlucky) and knocked-out of the Europa League quarter finals against Ajax. European qualification for next season is all that Schalke have left to aim for – the Blues are four points shy of the top six ahead of the weekend – but a tricky fixture at home to RB Leipzig won’t do them any favours.

The international break proved aptly timed for RB Leipzig following their three match win-less run (D1 L2). Since the two week hiatus, the revitalised Red Bulls have taken four consecutive wins against Darmstadt 98 (4-0 at home), Bayer Leverkusen (1-0 at home), Mainz 05 (3-2 away), and SC Freiburg (4-0 at home), which has guaranteed this season’s promotees Champions League qualification for next season – the Red Bulls stand 18 points within the top four with just five matches remaining.

RB Leipzig are slight favourites here at 29/20 with bet365, but we feel that the security is in goals. Hence, backing “over 2.5 goals” at 17/20 is the best bet for the following reasons: first and foremost, RB Leipzig’s matches rarely tend to be dull affairs. Not only have over 2.5 goals been scored in 64% of RB Leipzig’s away matches, but ten of their thirteen (77%) Bundesliga matches in 2017 (some won, some lost) have also seen three goals or more. Combine this with Schalke’s own statistics – 50% of the Schalke’s matches at the Veltins Arena have seen over 2.5 goals scored, including three of their last four at home across all competitions – and this already seems lined up to be a profitable endeavor.

Goals at both ends should be an inevitability as both Schalke and Leipzig have been consistent in front of goal in recent weeks. Leipzig have scored at least one goal in 71% of their matches on the road and the Red Bulls also boast the Bundesliga’s 4th top scorer, Timo Werner (16 goals). With a single goal in seven of his last eleven Bundesliga outings, he’d be a decent shout to score anytime at 11/8 with bet365. Meanwhile, it’s Austrian forward Guido Burgstaller who’s been the home fans’ favourite in recent weeks. Burgstaller has scored three goals over his last two outings at the Veltins Arena and is also a decent bet to score anytime at 6/4 with bet365.

Regarding a correct score bet, this seems set up to be a goal-fest. Leipzig may have guaranteed themselves Champions League football, but they’ll keep chasing the Bundesliga title while it’s still mathematically possible. On the other side, Schalke are desperate for three points and have been extremely solid at home since last October (W12 D5 L2). With the home advantage balancing out against the visitors better form, we feel there’s top value to be had in a 2-2 draw at 11/1 with bet365 on Sunday.

Head To Head

RB Leipzig won 2-1 at home to Schalke when the two sides met earlier this season - the only prior meeting between them.

Schalke VS RB Leipzig Stats

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 47% of Schalke's home matches and 64% of RB Leipzig's away matches. RB Leipzig have kept a clean sheet in just 21% of their matches on the road. Leipzig have drawn 2-2 in 14% of their away matches this season.

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