AC Milan vs Napoli Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

AC Milan vs Napoli Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

AC Milan

2017-01-21
19:45
San Siro

VS

Napoli

AC Milan vs Napoli predictions ahead of Saturday’s huge clash in Serie A. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips as these two battle for a Champions League spot.

AC Milan VS Napoli Predictions

Full Time: 1 - 2

Double Chance Tip: 1x
lose

Reason For AC Milan VS Napoli Betting Tips

Saturday night’s Serie A game is a huge one in the race for the top three spots. Napoli are aiming to maintain their impressive recent form at San Siro, but this is their sternest test in months. Milan are in the middle of a strong season, as they look to end their long spell in the wilderness. They’ll see this as the perfect opportunity to make up some ground in the fight for the Champions League.

Milan come in to this one just four points off third placed Napoli, and they have a game in hand on the Partenopei. That makes this a crucial match in the battle for those Champions League spots, and the fight for Europe is getting very tight in Serie A. Given what’s riding on this one, there’s now a huge amount of pressure on Maurizio Sarri and his team, and their good form will be under serious scrutiny.

Napoli have won just 44% of their away games this season, so you have to wonder why they’re such heavy favourites. To make matters worse for the visitors, they aren’t exactly boasting an impressive record in the high pressure ties. They’ve won just three of their last 11 outings against Serie A’s current top six.

The Partenopei are going up against a Milan team who have won 70% of their home outings in the league, losing just one. They’re now unbeaten in eight straight games at San Siro, winning six of those. That run includes victories over champions Juventus and a high flying Lazio side, while they were seconds away from beating rivals Inter in the Milan derby.

Milan should be confident of getting a result, they seem set up to thrive in these high pressure clashes. There have been quite a few big Serie A games where we’ve expected goals, like Roma’s 1-0 loss at Juve, or the Giallorossi’s 1-0 victory at home to Milan. The hosts are suited for that kind of game here, as they’ve kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, letting in just 0.9 goals per outing.

Meanwhile, Napoli have claimed just 37% of their points away from home, scoring just 40% of their goals on the road. That has us backing Milan to get a result, as they’ve avoided defeat in 90% of their outings at the San Siro. The hosts are fantastic value ahead of this one, they’re priced at 5/6 with bet365 to avoid defeat. That’s our main tip here, while we’re also backing them to edge this clash 1-0, which is 12/1 with bet365.

Head To Head

The last six meetings between these two have seen two wins apiece, and two draws. Napoli have failed to score in three of their last six away to AC Milan.

AC Milan VS Napoli Stats

85% of Milan's home victories have been by a single goal. Both of Napoli's away defeats have been by a single goal. Milan have won 40% of their home games to nil.

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