FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

FC Augsburg

2017-03-03
19:30
WWK Arena

VS

RB Leipzig

Augsburg vs RB Leipzig predictions for Friday evening’s kick-off in the Bundesliga.

FC Augsburg VS RB Leipzig Predictions

Over/Under Tip: Over 2.5

Reason For FC Augsburg VS RB Leipzig Betting Tips

After suffering consecutive defeats for the first time ever under coach Manuel Baum (a 2-0 defeat away to Mainz and a 3-1 defeat at home to Leverkusen), Augsburg bounced back with an expected win on the road to bottom of the table Darmstadt 98. Those 3 points see them standing comfortably above the relegation zone, but the Bavarians still have some work to do to reach their targeted top 10 finish.

Meanwhile, RB Leipzig are another side starting to rebuild some momentum after a drop in form. Leipzig were humbled in their 1-0 and 3-0 defeats away to Dortmund and at home to relegation fighting Hamburger SV at the start of February. However, these deflating results didn’t keep Ralph Hasenhüttl’s youngsters down for long, as Leipzig head into this off the back of consecutive wins against European contenders, Borussia M’gladbach and Cologne – wins which have kept them just 5 points behind Bayern Munich at the top of the table.

RB Leipzig are the favourites here at 10/11, which is no surprise given their formidable record on the road (W6 D2 L3) – the second best in the Bundesliga. However, though we feel the visitors stand a decent chance, there’s better value to be had backing “Over 2.5 Goals” at 11/10 with bet365 here for the following reasons:

Firstly, both RB Leipzig and Augsburg are in decent scoring form – Leipzig have averaged 1.7 goals per match so far in 2017 and Augbsurg have scored two or more in three of their last five Bundesliga matches – but neither side has kept a clean for a few weeks now. Hence, there’s plenty of potential for goals at both ends.

For Leipzig, forward Timo Werner will be the main threat. He’s the 4th top scorer in the Bundesliga, with 13 goals over his 21 appearances so far this season, and is in top current form with one goal in four of his last five outings. He’d be the best shout for an anytime scorer bet here at 5/4 with bet365. Augsburg, meanwhile, have been boosted by the return of forward Raul Bobadilla since his return from injury (2 goals in 5 appearances). Notably, Augsburg’s newfound scoring form is best shown by comparing their eight goal total so far in 2017 (8 goals in 6 matches) with that of the first half of the season (13 goals in 16 matches).

Most importantly, Leipzig’s matches very rarely tend to be dull affairs. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 6 of Leipzig’s last 7 matches (86%), while Augsburg follow suit with over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 5 (80%).

Regarding a correct score bet, Leipzig’s offense, momentum and overall form are all much better than the hosts – Augsburg have been shown to struggle against top 6 sides. Given all of the former, we feel the visitors should be able to push above Augsburg’s average 1.6 goals conceded per match, but likely fail to keep a clean sheet themselves. As such, a 3-1 Leipzig win offers some decent value here at 16/1.

Head To Head

Leipzig won 2-1 at home to Augsburg when the two sides met earlier this season. Augsburg won both prior competitive meetings in the DFB Pokal (in 2011 and 2013) against Leipzig.

FC Augsburg VS RB Leipzig Stats

Augsburg have scored at least one goal in four of their last five matches (80%). 6 of RB Leipzig's last seven matches had over 2.5 goals scored (86%). Augbsurg's most common result at home is a 3-1 defeat (27%).

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